Pre-conditions for hurricanes
Tropical Storm Arlene formed as a tropical depression on June 8, 2005 close to 83 West Longitude and 17 North Latitude. Although Dr. Bill Gray’s updated hurricane forecast for 2005 calls for 15 named storms, with 8 in the 15 becoming hurricanes, orthodox meteorology can’t pinpoint the time and place for the origin of any of those future storms. My June forecast published on EzineArticles.com entitled “June 2005: Weather Forecasts for Weather Traders” termed for tropical storm or hurricane formation between June 7 and 11, 2005 around 86 West Longitude and 24 North Latitude. This forecast was prepared in May 2005 prolonged just before standard meteorology had any indication of tropical storm activity for June. As might be seen, Arlene formed around these coordinates. It then passed close to them on June 9th and 10th.
Although modern meteorology, as dictated by our present-day understanding in the laws of physics, has enjoyed top billing, it’s not the only show in town. The extraordinary but little-known exogenic theory of temperature states that forces outside our atmosphere assist in molding our weather. Probably the most obvious example of it is solar energy. But according towards theory, the moon and eight planets along with the continuously changing angular relationships that form among them and also the sun are contributing components. Since such planetary phenomena might be calculated months and years in advance, these make long-range forecasts feasible. Johannes Kelper, the renowned 17th century astronomer, worked extensively with this theory and initially attained fame for his long-range weather forecasts long just before his discovery of the planetary laws of motion brought him acclaim.
Hurricane season is now upon us. Some initial hurricane forecasts for July 2005 are now posted at the URL mentioned below and additional is going to be posted inside the coming weeks. Although no forecast method, be it traditional or alternative, can claim 100 percent accuracy, interesting results have been attained with Kepler’s method. Some of these final results are are also posted on the aforementioned site.
These factors are crucial in that tremendous quantities of heat energy are transported from the tropics northward towards higher latitudes. The hurricane is a big heat engine, where by good quantities of heat are becoming produced in the method of latent heat of condensation. This occurs as water vapor is becoming evaporated in the ocean surface and condensed into cloud droplets.
Mechanisms to cause hurricane formation
The most frequent mechanism to create hurricanes will be the monsoon trough. This is an extension from the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone exactly where cyclonic spin has developed. The ITCZ can be a trough of low pressure created by the convergence with the northeast and southeast trade winds. This “trade wind” trough doesn’t contain the spin to initiate hurricane formation. The north Atlantic basin could be the exception.
Please also study more dealing with How Are Hurricanes Named and How Are Hurricanes Formed.